Today’s 06:00 UTC operational run of NCEP’s Global Forecasting System (GFS) shows a signal predicting the formation of a Genoa low in the second decade of May, leading to noticeable precipitation.
In the past, cyclones with this genesis have led to severe flooding in Central Europe. For instance,
However, GFS signal’s lead time is larger than 10 days and thus quite uncertain, of course. Therefore, it is a good idea to have an eye on the further meteorological development but we better (saying it with Douglas Adams) don’t panic…